Exploiting the BCS
I'm a Oregon Duck fan, but I am re-posting this here so I can get the SEC fan's point of view on how to schedule the best non-conference schedule.
The Pac-10 deserves credit for playing a legitimate non-conference schedule. In an era where the easiest way to make it to a BCS bowl game is to load up on patsies easier than high school girls with insecurity issues, the Pac-10 year after year schedules tough games that teams from other conferences wouldn’t even blink twice at.
Can you imagine if Florida started their season on the road against Boise State, a team that was playing for its season in week one? That would never happen in a million years. Instead, they schedule tune-up games against Charleston Southern and Troy – one FCS team, and one team that should be an FCS team – and in what shouldn’t be a shock to any of us, they combined to beat the living hell out them 118-9. To give you a better idea of how bad these teams are, the best athlete to come out of either one of these schools is Bobby Parnell, a pitcher for the Mets, who in his short and uninteresting career carries an ERA of 5.49. Impressive.
But maybe that’s the smart play. Ever since 2004 when the BCS took strength of schedule out of the equation, there has been no reason to play a team within sniffing distance of the top 25. At the end of the season, the only thing that matters to the voters is who has the smallest number in the loss column, given you play in one of the 6 BCS conferences, that is.
Since the Year of the Monkey (AKA 2004), the Big 10 has 9 BCS appearances, followed by the Big 12 and SEC with 8 apiece, and the Pac-10, Big East and ACC follow behind with 5 each. Of those last three conferences, not one has earned more than a one bid in a single year. The ACC and Big East aren’t deserving of more than one, but to think, the Pac-10 has not had an at-large BCS big since the 2002 season, when Washington State won the Pac-10, forcing USC into the Orange Bowl.
So why does the Pac-10 keep scheduling these difficult non-conference games? It’s like shooting yourself in the foot right before you run a marathon: you might be able to recover by the end of the race, but chances are the damage is too great and you’ll just lag into mediocrity (I don’t know why, but I’ve been making a myriad of marathon analogies lately).
There are a few arguments as to why scheduling more challenging opponents is beneficial. If you win, the voters might take it into consideration. It prepares you for rugged conference play. National TV exposure. But I don’t think any of these arguments are worthwhile, and the stats back it up.
The Pac-10 has players just as talented as the SEC, Big 10 or Big 12, but they put themselves in a situation where they are destined to fail. They are the only conference with a complete round-robin schedule, thus, there is no chance that more than one team escaping conference play unscathed. And they play difficult non-division games that are basically a lose-lose situation (if they win, they get barely any extra credit for it, and if they lose, they’re out of the BCS race).
The Pac-10 deserves, and for the most part, gets respect for these two things, but last time I checked, respect doesn’t equal BCS trophies. The SEC, Big 12 and Big 10 have found ways to exploit the system, putting the odds in their favor to get multiple teams into the BCS. Why hasn’t the Pac-10 figured it out?
The UO Sports Dude
Please be kind and use good grammar.
0 recs |
10 comments
|
Comments
YOU ARE WRONG.
In the last five years, since the 2005 season.
AVG
CONFERENCE-RANKED OPPONENTS/ OOC RANKED OPP./AVG RANKED OPP/OOC
SEC 256/211 36/30 4.2 3/5YR
PAC-10 165 36 3.3 3.6/5YR
*10 random SEC teams for a direct comparison.
SEC- 7 TIMES A TEAM HAD ATLEAST 6 RANKED OPP IN 1 SEASON.
PAC-10- HAS NONE
SEC- 27 TIMES A TEAM HAD 5 RANKED OPP IN 1 SEASON.
PAC-10- 1 TIME
So your theory is wrong and i have proven that you are just a biased upset pac10 fan. The Pac-10 plays half a game more ranked OOC teams on AVG in the last 5 years. That is not significant enough to prove anything you mentioned. ANDDD the SEC play 1 more ranked team a season on the avg. The sec plays tough TOUGH schedules, 7 times a sec team play 6 or more teams in the season that were ranked. And 27 times with 5 ranked opp’s. compared to the pac-10’s ONE!!!!!! Now you see why the SEC always has teams in the running for the BCS game. If your teams played more ranked opp during the season, 1 or 2 losses may be looked over, but if you only play 2 or 3 ranked teams ofcourse if you lose 1 or 2 then you arnt gonna have a shot at the end.
What Troy team are you looking at?
They have a good program down there, and they consistently win their conference. They’re not on the level of teams from the SEC, Big 12, Mountain West or some of the other big conferences, but they’re not the cupcake team you seem to think they are.
However, I do wish that the Gators would play some more legit non-conference teams. Next season we have USF, and we have future dates with UM as well.
I'm doin the Fish again. (Yeah, yeah, yeah.)
Athletes from Troy:
Demarcus Ware (11th pick overall, Cowboys Pro Bowl linebacker)
Leodis McKelvin (11th pick overall, Buffalo Bills)
Osi Umenyiora (NY Giants star)
To name a few. All better than Bobby Parnell.
Escaping the conference unscathed
Only one team can escape the SEC (or the ACC, or the Big 12) unscathed altho. Only one team in the East and one team in the West can go undefeated in the regular season, since they play a full round robin in their respective divisions. Those two undefeated teams would then meet for the SEC championship, both would play 9 conference games (just like the Pac-10), and only one can go undefeated (just like the Pac-10). Unlike the Pac-10, both teams play 13 games instead of 12, providing another opportunity for a loss unless they schedule Charleston Southern to make up for it.
Actually.
I getting beat by reasonable non-conference opponents is “keeping you out of the BCS” then I say GOOD. If you can’t beat those teams when/where you play them, then why should we think you’d fair better in big bowl games?
"A player who conjugates a verb in the first person singular cannot be part of the squad, he has to conjugate the verb in the first person plural. We. We want to conquer. We are going to conquer. Using the word 'I' when you're in a group makes things complicated." ~ Wanderley Luxemburgo, 1999
To put this ignorantly
The Gators rule, period. The SEC rules, period. The Pac-10, not so much.
"HULU: An evil plot to destroy the world. Enjoy"
The Flavour of the Day is Turf. - Courtesy of the Jacksonville Jaguars
"As for me, Life goes on."-TheTealDeal
I generally agree with you on this, but...
But maybe that’s the smart play. Ever since 2004 when the BCS took strength of schedule out of the equation, there has been no reason to play a team within sniffing distance of the top 25.
The BCS took the explicit strength of schedule component out of the rankings because that meant strength of schedule was triple-counted. All the statistical rankings are wins & losses + strength of schedule rankings, because they can’t possibly be anything else. And while each individual poll voter has their own idea of strength of schedule, they certainly factor it in their rankings; it’s very rare to see a ballot arranged strictly in order of winning percentage.
Also, don’t forget that a mechanical strength of schedule is as flawed as everything else. If its based on W-L and you play in a very tough conference, your strength of schedule ranking will be way lower than it really should be. Because all the good teams you play are playing each other and screwing up each others W-L. If its based on the polls or some other system, well then its just as flawed as those polls or systems. You can’t rank a team’s schedule without somehow ranking the teams on those schedule. The only reason we are having this conversation is because we can’t indisputably rank teams in the first place. So strength of schedule is retarded.

by 











