Florida's 10-1 record is one studded with big wins: only the Gators have three wins over teams with nine wins, and only the Gators have three over teams that were in the BCS top 10 last week. But the Gators are just outside the top five in the AP Poll and Coaches Poll ... and move up in the Harris Poll (PDF), usually thought of as the least accurate of the three major college football polls.
Florida is behind No. 5 Florida State in the Coaches Poll and behind No. 5 Oregon in the AP Poll, which has FSU No. 10, and No. 5 ahead of No. 6 FSU in the Harris Poll. The difference between the Gators and Seminoles, just six days before the biggest meeting in their rivalry since the last time both were top-10 teams in 2000, is just 11 points in the Harris Poll, and 33 in the Coaches Poll.
Florida's chances of guaranteeing itself a BCS bowl game depend on the Coaches Poll and Harris Poll, because the BCS computers love the Gators' record against their rigorous schedule, and Oregon being ahead of Florida in both polls is a bad sign for now. But if the Gators can beat Florida State on Saturday in Tallahassee, there's a good chance that Florida will vault past the Ducks, putting themselves in position for an automatic BCS bowl appearance.
We'll have more on that later when the BCS rankings for this week come out.