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Predicting Georgia 2015

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A Complete Season Win/Loss Prediction of the SEC

TL;DR

Georgia will win the East and go 10-2 and 6-2 in the SEC and play Alabama in the SEC Championship game on December 5th.

Losses to Alabama and Tennessee in SEC play are not enough to keep the Hairy Dawgs out of Atlanta for a rematch with the Crimson Tide. The Rambling Wreck of Georgia Tech produces back to back 10+ win season but that does not includes a win over rival UGA. Nick Chubb comes up second in the Heisman voting, mostly due to his team suffering 2 losses.

When I look at schedules I am often very interested in venue, streaks, and bye weeks. With that in mind I have gone through and completed a win/loss breakdown of the SEC, including non conference games. I am bit bullish on some teams, admittedly Arkansas and Florida, and very skeptical of other teams, LSU and South Carolina.

After the past 9 years the SEC has been a corner stone of achievement on the college grid iron. The success of their championships has fueled the conference from top to bottom to be better.

Previously we discussed Alabama, Arkansas, Auburn, & Florida.

So grab your fiddles and pack your bags because we're going down to ...

Georgia

W1: UL Monroe

Dawg Nation will be drunk on happiness by halftime in this one. A team with a superior running game, that includes the offensive line and Nick Chubb and his spell backs, should just roll a team with far less talented players. – Win

W2: Van-deer-built

Perhaps Georgia gets confused that this is a charity event for about a quarter or two. But in the end Georgia is on the mind of some Tennessee natives in a very bad way. – Win

W3: South Carolina

Between the Hedges, Steve Spurrier loves to coach at Athens, but South Carolina is actually suffering from a lack of quality defensive interior players coupled with a bad secondary. Georgia is able to run and pass against the Gamecocks and is more likely more confident at this point. On the other side of the ball Georgia’s defense is good enough to keep Spurrier’s passing attack in check forcing UofSC to beat them with a suspect running game. – Win

W4: Southern

Oh, I think that I've found myself a cheerleader
Southern is always right there when I need her
Oh, I think that I've found myself a cheerleader
Southern is always right there when I need her. – Win

W5: Alabama

This game features my predicted two SEC Championship game entrants. And really this game could go either way. Both teams are playing "cup cakes" the week before, Alabama’s opponent has a bit better history at upsetting the SEC. Also Alabama will come into this game as a more battle tested team having already played Wisconsin and Ole Miss. While it is at home for Georgia, the team that has been more consistent over the past 5 years is Alabama. – Loss

W6: Tennessee

After a tough loss to the Crimson Tide, UGA heads to Knoxville for what is the biggest game in Rocky Top this year. Tennessee is coming off back to back losses to Florida and Arkansas (as you’ve seen). Butch Davis is actually a good coach, and I’m not talking good as in relative to the last two coaching hires Tennessee has made. Tennessee found a QB last year who presents a running threat in Tennessee’s spread style attack. Jalen Hurd becomes the perfect sledgehammer to Dobbs option sweep. UGA didn’t play the run so well last season …

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and this rivalry has actually remained pretty competitive despite Tennessee’s fall from consistency. Both lines of scrimmage are some of the best for the two offenses. In the end it’s the Dawgs that have to put up with hearing Rocky Top all night long as Orange Crush takes it. – Loss

W7: Missouri

Felt the pressure, seen the breaks
Let the fortune teller take it all, all
Pressure!
Heard the echoes of mistakes
Call our name until we shake it off, off
Pressure! (Pressure – Youngblood Hawke)

After back to back losses the pressure is on Georgia, with expectations to win the SEC East this season. Good thing this one comes before a bye week and is in Athens, allowing the Dawgs to go all out for a win over SEC East magician, Missouri.

Oh I, oh I can feel the pressure
Oh I, oh I can feel the pressure
Oh I, oh I can feel the pressure
Pressure!

Georgia leans on Nick Chubb and wins a close one. Leaning on Chubb helps remove one of the biggest strengths of Missouri’s defense, the pass rush. – Win

W8: Vanderbilt I mean Bye

W9: Florida

With the off week and with both teams entering this game at 5-2 we set up for an epic World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party. As you’ll see Florida and Georgia are firmly in the driver’s seats for the SEC East hopes. But It’s hard to envision Pruitt having the same type of defensive breakdown Florida rode to a big and unlikely win last season. Florida should have a competent passing attack at this point, making this a game the Gators could actually be favored in. Remember McElwain helped turn a 7-6 Alabama offense the year before he got there to a 12-2 offense that only lost to the National Champions and the Best of the Rest (non Power 5), Florida and Utah, and only in its two games of the post season.

With that said this really is a pick em, if everything goes to prediction, and Florida may be missing that one playmaker they would have had with a better approach to recruiting the offensive side of the ball the past 4 years. Hopefully the fans can avoid too many fights over this one. Every dog has its day … Win

W10: Kentucky

Kentucky will be better this year. This is true. But will they be complete enough on both sides of the ball to push the big boys? No. Kentucky will put up points on some of the average or lesser defenses they face, but they will still struggle against defenses like Florida’s. Georgia just happens to be pretty good at getting to the QB on defense, and Kentucky be will passing it far more frequently than running it. While Patrick Towles will likely improve this season, it just won’t be enough to overcome the defense and the often suspect running game to get by a team like Georgia, and Georgia is at home.

The one thing the Wildcats have going for them is they are a trap game for Georgia. Sandwiched between two of Georgia’s biggest rivals, Kentucky can play spoiler to a team that is tired and probably looking ahead. All that said, If the devil can’t win with a fiddle why would the ‘Cats win without a defense? – Win

W11:Auburn

The 2013 game is still fresh in the minds of plenty of Georgia fans, coaches, and players. url.0.html

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Auburn’s Gus Malzahn and his uptempo system and ability to mix old concepts with new concepts has allowed him to win a lot of close games. The law of averages however tells us that because Gus has won so many close calls, he is due to lose almost as many. This year I expect Georgia to be the one on the receiving end of miracles, as Georgia will be playing for a chance to go to Atlanta in this game. – Win

W12: Georgia Southern

Georgia does the smartest thing it could do, schedule wise, to prepare for Georgia Tech and at the same time focus on the lower tiered team. Georgia Southern likes to run option football and uses varied formations to do it, such as pistol flexbone, 3 and 4 wide receiver sets, and even big or jumbo sets with TEs and a mythical FB … yeah they still exist. It just so happens the opponent Georgia faces after Georgia Southern, Georgia Tech (too much Georgia for my liking) runs an extremely similar offense.

In a day where teams are trying to get vertical and horizontal with forward laterals (pass) so much, these two teams attempt to use backward laterals almost as much as the forward ones. Georgia almost beat Tech last season without the advantage of preparing for the same offense back to back. With the expectancy to see it repetitively the Dawgs defense focuses in and beats GA Southern like the little brothers they are. – Win

W13: Georgia Tech

See above mostly. Whoever the AD is at UGA should get a Christmas bonus for this scheduling. If the previous week had been say, Marshall, EMU, or Idaho I would pick Tech to win here. But Georgia has better talent, and that talent will be locked in after going through about two weeks of practice and a live game to prepare for this. Talent for the Bulldogs alone could give them the win over GA Southern, though I wouldn’t rely on that, especially if you have 3rd string QB in … DELETE DELETE DELETE Sorry bad memories I had to force back to the recesses of my mind like the stuff I did as a teenager but now that I’m married … I think you get the point.

Anyways … Georgia wins this one and then goes back home and turns into ME WANT HONEYCOMBS! monsters …

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Win

Date

H/A/N

Georgia

W/L

5-Sep

H

UL Monroe

W

12-Sep

A

Vanderbilt

W

19-Sep

H

South Carolina

W

26-Sep

H

Southern

W

3-Oct

H

Alabama

L

10-Oct

A

Tennessee

L

17-Oct

H

Missouri

W

24-Oct

31-Oct

N

Florida

W

7-Nov

H

Kentucky

W

14-Nov

A

Auburn

W

21-Nov

H

GA Southern

W

28-Nov

A

Georgia Tech

W

Georgia will be decent in their second year with Pruitt coordinating the defense. They will still have their moments of being Georgia, where they just can’t be the best all the time in one season (shows more of the greatness of Herschel Walker).

Georgia be fans be like

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but everyone else likes their cake and eats it too

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P.S. I do not condone the killing of pets. I believe this cake falls in line with an alligator cake or similar, the sign with the cake makes it funny.

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