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Florida vs. Miami: 25 predictions, reviewed

Florida did many of the things we expected it to against Miami. The Gators also lost.

Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

A review of my 25 predictions for Florida vs. Miami.

  1. Both teams will score touchdowns.
    Right. Both teams had two touchdowns, in fact.
  2. Florida will lead by double digits at some point in the game.
    Wrong. Florida never led.
  3. Florida will hold a halftime lead.
    Wrong. Again, Florida never led.
  4. Jeff Driskel will throw for more than 200 yards.
    Right. Driskel's 291 passing yards were the most of his career, and the second-most for a Florida QB since 2010.
  5. Driskel will have a run of more than 20 yards.
    Wrong. Driskel's longest run of the day went for 12 yards.
  6. Matt Jones will have at least 80 total yards.
    Wrong. Jones was Florida's leading rusher, but finished with 47 yards, and had just one catch for one yard.
  7. Mack Brown will get at least nine carries.
    Right. Brown had 10, for 29 yards.
  8. Demarcus Robinson will have at least three catches.
    Wrong. Robinson was targeted twice, and couldn't make a catch on either play on what appeared to me to be bad throws from Driskel.
  9. Florida will score at least 27 points.
    Wrong. Ugh.
  10. Valdez Showers will make a big play on offense.
    Right. Maybe a 12-yard run doesn't count as a big play to you, but that's an "explosive" in Muschampese, and tied Driskel's 12-yard run as Florida's longest of the day.
  11. Dante Fowler will have at least one sack.
    Wrong. Fowler just barely missed tripping up Stephen Morris behind the line on one pursuit, but didn't record a sack.
  12. Duke Johnson will run for more than 5.0 yards per carry.
    Wrong. This looked like it might be right early, but Florida clamped down.
  13. Antonio Morrison will lead Florida in tackles.
    Right. Morrison had five solo and seven total tackles, leading all Gators.
  14. Florida will play primarily with five defensive backs.
    Right. I mean, I didn't count snaps, but I saw a lot of five-DB sets over the course of the day.
  15. Vernon Hargreaves III will see action on Florida's first defensive drive.
    Wrong. Then again, I might have been looking for 16, not 1.
  16. Loucheiz Purifoy will have an underwhelming day on defense.
    Right. Purifoy missed an important tackle late, and was generally not as sharp as he could have been in his first 2013 action, except on one important play...
  17. Stephen Morris will throw for under 300 yards.
    Right. Morris threw for 162 yards, completing just 12 of 25 passes.
  18. Morris will throw at least one interception.
    Right. Thank you, VH3.
  19. Florida's defense will allow fewer than 5.0 yards per play.
    Right. It wasn't even close: Miami averaged exactly 4.0 yards per play, gaining 212 yards on 53 plays. And:

  20. Florida will force at least two turnovers.
    Wrong. Well, sort of: A punt block is really as good as a turnover, but Hargreaves's interception of Morris was Florida's only forced turnover on the day.
  21. Kyle Christy will average more than 44 yards per punt.
    Wrong. 42.5 yards per punt isn't bad, but it isn't what Christy was routinely delivering in 2012.
  22. Austin Hardin will make a field goal from 40 or more yards.
    Wrong. Hardin was true on his 33-yarder in the third quarter, but got no other chances on the day.
  23. Purifoy will make a big play on special teams.
    Right. Doubt I'll be prouder of another prediction this year. Purifoy steamed through and smothered a punt in the first quarter.
  24. Florida will win the fourth quarter.
    Wrong. Another tie, though Florida outgained Miami 90-6.
  25. Florida will win, 30-17.
    Wrong. Dammit.

This Week: 11-of-25, 42 percent.
Season To Date: 23-of-50, 46 percent.


Andy Hutchins is Alligator Army's managing editor. Follow Alligator Army on Twitter and Facebook.